Neither team plays defense. With the over under total hovering between 55 and 57 (the highest ever in Super Bowl history) the boys in Vegas obviously think we are in for a shoot out come Sunday. The public must agree because the number keeps rising. I am not so sure I agree. First off I believe the Colts defense is better than they look and I believe the Saints know if they can run successfully they will keep the ball out of Manning’s hands and thus avoid the up and down the field game that Manning almost always wins. Below is what I call my Super Bowl Leaning On Defense Chart:
| TEAM | Rush Yds Allow. | Pass Yds. Allow. | Total Yds. Allow. | Pts Allow. Per Game |
| Colts | 126.5 | 212.7 | 339.7 | 19.2 |
| Saints | 122.1 | 235.6 | 357.8 | 21.3 |
Since 1970 teams sweeping all four categories have gone 14-3 (82%) straight up in the Super Bowl. Teams like this years edition of the Colts that have held a 3 to 1 edge in these categories have gone 12-8 (60%) straight up in the Super Bowl. All the numbers above are close so I expect a lot of late action will come in on the Saints who have become America’s darlings but before you follow the sheep to the…..I thought you should know teams making their Super Bowl debut are 9-20 straight up and the last nineteen went 6-12-1 against the number. Thanks for listening.
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